(WOIO) - A 41-point disapproval from union households and a 16-point disapproval from women keep Ohio Gov. John Kasich under water with a negative 40 – 49 percent overall job approval, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released on Tuesday.
This compares to a negative 35 – 50 percent approval in a July 20 survey from the independent Quinnipiac University.
Ohio voters support 51 – 38 percent repeal in a November referendum of SB 5, the law limiting collective bargaining for public employees, compared to 56 – 32 percent in July.
Republican voters approve of Gov. Kasich 72 – 18 percent, but disapproval is 74 – 17 percent among Democrats and 48 – 38 percent among independent voters. Men split 45 – 46 percent while women disapprove 51 – 35 percent.
Disapproval among voters in households with a union member is 68 – 27 percent.
In the SB 5 referendum, Republicans say keep the law 65 – 23 percent, up from 56 – 35 percent July 20. Men oppose SB 5 50 – 45 percent, compared to 55 – 37 percent. Women want to repeal the law 53 – 31 percent, compared to 56 – 28 percent in July.
"Ohio voters seem to be warming a little toward Gov. John Kasich, although he is still under water when it comes to public opinion," said Peter A. Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute. "The governor still has more than three years left until he faces the voters again and his numbers are moving in the right direction.
"But SB 5 is another story. Support for repealing the bill in the November referendum has dropped from a 24-point to a 13-point margin. Backers of SB 5 have only six weeks to make up the difference, although public opinion appears to be moving in their direction."
"The referendum on SB 5 also is a referendum on John Kasich," Brown added.
Another area where Kasich shows improvement is voter perception of the fairness of his budget. Ohioans say it is unfair 49 – 36 percent, up from 50 – 32 percent in July.
"Kasich sure has a ways to go to get his head above water, especially among women and union members, but his overall numbers are getting better," said Brown.
Looking at the elements of SB 5, Ohio voters:
- Oppose 58 – 36 percent banning public employees from striking;
- Support 60 – 31 percent replacing automatic pay increases based on seniority with increases based on merit;
- Oppose 53 – 41 percent eliminating seniority rights as the sole factor in layoffs;
- Support 59 – 35 percent requiring public employees to pay at least 15 percent of their health insurance costs;
- Support 56 – 33 percent requiring public employees to pay 10 percent of their wages toward their pensions;
- Oppose 54 – 39 percent banning public employees from bargaining over health insurance.
Ohio voters oppose 56 – 32 percent Kasich's proposal to lease the Ohio Turnpike to a private company to raise money to fund transportation projects.
One Ohio politician who voters think is doing a good job is U.S. Sen. Rob Portman, who earns a 41 – 23 percent approval rating.