By DAVE GOLDBERG, AP Football Writer
NEW YORK (AP) - As usual, there's little intrigue about the first pick in the NFL draft.
Just as Atlanta was already committed to Michael Vick last season, so have the Houston Texans declared David Carr, the Fresno State quarterback, will be their first-ever pick.
But things get complicated by the third choice, held by the Detroit Lions. That will probably determine the rest of the top 10 picks.
The man in the middle is another quarterback, Joey Harrington of Oregon.
The Lions are hinting they may take him, but really hope some team gives them extra picks to acquire the No. 3 pick from them. If Harrington doesn't go there, he could fall to 10th. Buffalo, at No. 4, hopes it can trade with New England for Drew Bledsoe, but doesn't seem enthused about Harrington.
The Bills could be right. Think of Rick Mirer and Ryan Leaf, both chosen No. 2 overall, plus the likes of Heath Shuler, David Klingler, Cade McNown, Akili Smith, Andre Ware and other high first-round busts at quarterback.
But the expansion Texans are determined to build their team around Carr.
"We felt he was the best player in the draft," general manager Charley Casserly said. "You got a real solid individual off the field and a real talented individual on the field."
So DAVID CARR it is.
2. CAROLINA. When Houston declared it wanted Carr on April 3, the Panthers might have announced their pick. They remain mute, but they need to sell tickets and DE JULIUS PEPPERS, North Carolina, is a very talented local guy.
3. DETROIT. Harrington could fit Marty Mornhinweg's West Coast offense. The Lions are saying they like him, but they also seem committed to second-year QB Mike McMahon. If they don't trade, they take QUENTIN JAMMER, CB, Texas.
4. BUFFALO. No trade and no Harrington either. Maybe someone will trade up. If not, the Bills choose MIKE WILLIAMS, OT, Texas.
5. SAN DIEGO. The Chargers need help in the secondary and at offensive tackle. They're not too high on Bryant McKinnie, so they take ROY WILLIAMS, S, Oklahoma.
6. DALLAS. Jerry Jones would be happy to get extra picks for Harrington. He loves Jammer and Roy Williams. If there's no trade, ALBERT HAYNESWORTH, DT, Tennessee, one of four high-quality DTs available.
7. MINNESOTA. Need defense as always. But can't pass up BRYANT McKINNIE, OT, Miami, Fla.
8 KANSAS CITY. Here goes another inside lineman, RYAN SIMS, DT, North Carolina, underpublicized because he played with Peppers.
9. JACKSONVILLE. Got rid of two DTs in the expansion draft. JOHN HENDERSON, DT, Tennessee.
10. CINCINNATI. Picking higher than this, the Bengals usually make the wrong picks. They might trade down or go for HARRINGTON.
11. INDIANAPOLIS. The best DT left, WENDELL BRYANT, Wisconsin.
12. ARIZONA. DL was terrible last season, but more value in PHILIP BUCHANON, CB, Miami.
13. NEW ORLEANS. Filled two needs by signing Grady Jackson and Jerome Pathon. Need a speed receiver: DONTE STALLWORTH, WR, Tennessee.
14. TENNESSEE. The Titans need DTs and WRs. ASHLEY LELIE, WR Hawaii.
15. NEW YORK GIANTS. May prefer a speedy wide receiver like Stallworth or Lelie, but with them gone, they take the guy everyone thinks they will: JEREMY SHOCKEY, TE, Miami.
16. CLEVELAND. This is the first-ever pick out of the top three and they need a rare commodity in this draft, a first-rate running back. WILLIAM GREEN, RB, Boston College.
17. ATLANTA. The Falcons keep Steve Spurrier from taking one of his Gators, JABBAR GAFFNEY, WR, Florida.
18. WASHINGTON. Despite Spurrier's claim he's satisfied with his QBs, the Redskins are likely to try to trade up for Harrington. They also need guards and centers. ANDRE GURODE, OL, Colorado, who can play both.
19. DENVER. Despite an offensive falloff last season, the real problem remains defense. KALIMBA EDWARDS, DE, South Carolina.
20, SEATTLE. Mike Holmgren's offense depends heavily on tight ends who can catch. DANIEL GRAHAM, TE, COLORADO.
21. OAKLAND. One of the four picks the Raiders got for Jon Gruden. They're desperate for an inside defensive lineman. ANTHONY WEAVER, DT, Notre Dame.
22. NEW YORK JETS. They miss Weaver by one pick, so they go for more help at cornerback, LITO SHEPPARD of Florida.
23. OAKLAND. More defense. NAPOLEON HARRIS, LB, Northwestern.
24. BALTIMORE. Lost a dozen starters from a team that won the Super Bowl two seasons ago. LEVI JONES, OT, Arizona State.
25. NEW ORLEANS. Need a replacement for Joe Johnson: CHARLES GRANT, DE Georgia.
26. PHILADELPHIA. The Eagles need help on the offensive and defensive lines. DWIGHT FREENEY, DE, Syracuse is a smaller Hugh Douglas.
27. SAN FRANCISCO. The 49ers are getting close to where they used to be. They signed Ron Stone to replace the retired Ray Brown at guard so ... ANTONIO BRYANT, WR, Pitt, the kind of tall receiver the Niners like.
28. GREEN BAY. Have to make over the wide receiving corps. JOSH REED, WR, LSU, isn't the fastest guy on the board, but he knows how to get open.
29. CHICAGO. Must keep ugrading the offense. TONIU FONOTI, G, Nebraska.
30. PITTSBURGH. No bother that the Steelers have their lowest first-round pick ever because they pick so well. ED REED, S, Miami.
31. ST. LOUIS. They actually have a few holes on offense thanks to free-agent defections. KENDALL SIMMONS, OL, Auburn, is a guard who can play tackle, too.
32. NEW ENGLAND. Speed receiver needed. RECHE CALDWELL, WR, Florida.
(Copyright 2002 by The Associated Press. All Rights Reserved.)