Restrictions are ‘absolutely saving lives’: Dr. Amy Acton shares first look at Ohio’s coronavirus 'curve’ modeling

Restrictions are ‘absolutely saving lives’: Dr. Amy Acton shares first look at Ohio’s coronavirus 'curve’ modeling
Dr. Amy Acton shares first look at Ohio’s coronavirus 'curve’ modeling

CLEVELAND, Ohio (WOIO) - The state’s Department of Health director, Dr. Amy Acton, gave residents hope when she provided the first look at Ohio’s COVID-19 “curve” modeling.

The preliminary modeling was compiled using data from the Ohio State University’s Infectious Diseases Institute, as of March 25.

“Ohio, what you’re doing is absolutely saving lives,” Dr. Acton said during Thursday’s briefing.

During her explanation, Dr. Acton points to a slide that shows a red forecast reflecting where Ohio would be currently if no actions were taken to prevent the spread of COVID-19.

Up to 40,000 cases could have been possible without school closures and the stay-at-home order, according to the projections.

The blue modeling shows the current number of cases in Ohio and the projection estimates into May.

“This is the effect of what you’re doing,” Acton said.

Dr. Amy Acton shares first look at Ohio’s coronavirus 'curve’ modeling

Dr. Acton said on Thursday that her initial projection of a peak in early May regarding the amount of daily cases is still likely. She is not ruling out the possibility of up to 8,000 new cases of COVID-19 confirmed on any given day between now and then once the testing capacity increases.

“Forty to 70 percent of us will get this virus,” Dr. Acton stated.

When the surge hits Ohio, health officials expect the hospital system and the supply of medical equipment will be significantly impacted.

Currently, Ohio’s hospitals are at about 60% capacity.

“What we do now will determine if we overrun Ohio’s hospitals and get to a situation where our medical teams are making life and death decisions,” Gov. DeWine said while emphasizing the importance of adhering to the state’s stay-at-home directive.

As of March 26, at least 10 individuals have died from COVID-19 with 867 confirmed cases statewide.

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